Global phosphorus supply chain dynamics: Assessing regional impact to 2050

Almenn færsla
dc.contributorHáskóli Íslandsen_US
dc.contributorUniversity of Icelanden_US
dc.contributor.authorNedelciu, Claudiu
dc.contributor.authorRagnarsdottir, Kristin Vala
dc.contributor.authorSchlyter, Peter
dc.contributor.authorStjernquist, Ingrid
dc.contributor.departmentJarðvísindadeild (HÍ)en_US
dc.contributor.departmentFaculty of Earth Sciences (UI)en_US
dc.contributor.schoolVerkfræði- og náttúruvísindasvið (HÍ)en_US
dc.contributor.schoolSchool of Engineering and Natural Sciences (UI)en_US
dc.date.accessioned2020-11-16T09:44:13Z
dc.date.available2020-11-16T09:44:13Z
dc.date.issued2020-09
dc.descriptionPublisher's version (útgefin grein)en_US
dc.description.abstractPhosphorus (P) availability is essential for global food security. A system dynamics model running from 1961 to 2050 was built for this study, linking global P supply to social, economic and environmental dynamics at regional level. Simulation results show that phosphate rock (PR) production needs to double by 2050 compared to present levels, in order to match regional P requirements. South Asia, Latin America and the Caribbean, and Sub-Saharan Africa are regions highly dependent on phosphate imports, yet it is here that most of the population growth and future P requirement will occur. Climate impact, eutrophication and phosphogypsum production are some of the main negative environmental dynamics that are becoming increasingly challenging in the coming decades.en_US
dc.description.sponsorshipThe authors are thankful to Dr. Salim Belyazid at the Department of Physical Geography, Stockholm University, for his invaluable insights into the conceptualization of this model. This article is part of Adaptation to a new economic reality (AdaptEconII) Marie Curie Innovative Training Network, funded by the European Commission (H2020-MSCA ITN-2015, Grant No. 675153 ). The European Commission support for the production of this publication does not constitute an endorsement of the contents, which reflects the views only of the authors, and the Commission cannot be held responsible for any use that may be made of the information contained therein. This work was also supported by Stockholm University [Carl Mannerfelt Fond stipend 2020] and the Swedish Society for Anthropology and Geography [SSAG scholarship 2020].en_US
dc.description.versionPeer Revieweden_US
dc.format.extent100426en_US
dc.identifier.citationNedelciu, C. E., et al. (2020). "Global phosphorus supply chain dynamics: Assessing regional impact to 2050." Global Food Security 26: 100426.en_US
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.gfs.2020.100426
dc.identifier.issn2211-9124
dc.identifier.journalGlobal Food Securityen_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11815/2206
dc.language.isoenen_US
dc.publisherElsevier BVen_US
dc.relationinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/H2020/675153en_US
dc.relation.ispartofseriesGlobal Food Security;26
dc.relation.urlhttps://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2211912420300808?via%3Dihuben_US
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessen_US
dc.subjectFertilizersen_US
dc.subjectFood securityen_US
dc.subjectPhosphorusen_US
dc.subjectPopulation growthen_US
dc.subjectRegionalen_US
dc.subjectSystem dynamics modellingen_US
dc.subjectFæðuöryggien_US
dc.subjectFosfóren_US
dc.subjectFólksfjölgunen_US
dc.subjectÁburðuren_US
dc.titleGlobal phosphorus supply chain dynamics: Assessing regional impact to 2050en_US
dc.typeinfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleen_US
dcterms.licenseThis is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/)en_US

Skrár

Original bundle

Niðurstöður 1 - 1 af 1
Thumbnail Image
Nafn:
1-s2.0-S2211912420300808-main.pdf
Stærð:
4.59 MB
Snið:
Adobe Portable Document Format
Description:
Publisher´s version
Hlaða niður

Undirflokkur

Greinar- HÍ

Öll gögn í Opnum vísindum eru vernduð af ákvæðum höfundalaga og með öllum réttindum áskildum, nema annað sé tekið fram.