End-to-end model of Icelandic waters using the Atlantis framework: Exploring system dynamics and model reliability

dc.contributorHáskóli Íslandsen_US
dc.contributorUniversity of Icelanden_US
dc.contributor.authorSturludottir, Erla
dc.contributor.authorDesjardins, Christopher David
dc.contributor.authorElvarsson, Bjarki
dc.contributor.authorFulton, Elizabeth A.
dc.contributor.authorGorton, Rebecca
dc.contributor.authorLogemann, Kai
dc.contributor.authorStefansson, Gunnar
dc.contributor.departmentRaunvísindastofnun (HÍ)en_US
dc.contributor.departmentScience Institute (UI)en_US
dc.contributor.departmentLíf- og umhverfisvísindadeild (HÍ)en_US
dc.contributor.departmentFaculty of Life and Environmental Sciences (UI)en_US
dc.contributor.schoolVerkfræði- og náttúruvísindasvið (HÍ)en_US
dc.contributor.schoolSchool of Engineering and Natural Sciences (UI)en_US
dc.date.accessioned2019-02-28T10:36:04Z
dc.date.available2019-02-28T10:36:04Z
dc.date.issued2018-11
dc.descriptionPublisher's version (útgefin grein)en_US
dc.description.abstractIcelandic waters are very productive and the fisheries are economically important for the Icelandic nation. The importance of the fisheries has led to progressive fisheries management and extensive monitoring of the ecosystem. However, fisheries management is mainly built on single species stock assessment models, and multi-species or ecological models are essential for building capacity around ecosystem-based fisheries management. This paper describes the first end-to-end model for the Icelandic waters using the Atlantis modeling framework. The modeled area is 1,600,000 km2, and covers the area from Greenland through Icelandic waters to the Faroe Islands. The ocean area was divided into 51 spatial boxes, each with multiple vertical layers. There were 52 functional groups in the model: 20 fish groups (8 at a species level), 5 groups of mammals, 1 seabird group, 16 invertebrates, 5 primary producers, 2 bacteria and 3 detritus groups. The reliability of the model was evaluated using a skill assessment and a sensitivity analysis was conducted to understand the dynamics of the system. The sensitivity study revealed that saithe, redfish and tooth whales had the greatest effect on other groups in the system. The skill assessment showed that the model was able to replicate time-series of biomass and landings for the most important commercial groups and that modeling of the recruitment processes was important for some of the groups. This model now provides a solid basis for evaluating alternative ecosystem and fisheries management scenarios, and should produce reliable results for the most important commercial groups.en_US
dc.description.sponsorshipThis study has received funding from the European Union’s Seventh Framework Programme for research, technological development and demonstration under grant agreement no. 613571 for the project MareFrame and from the European Commission’s Horizon 2020 Research and Innovation Programme under Grant Agreement No. 634495 for the project Science, Technology, and Society Initiative to minimize Unwanted Catches in European Fisheries (Minouw). Funding from the Icelandic Research Fund (rannis, No. 152039051) is also acknowledged.en_US
dc.description.versionPeer Revieweden_US
dc.format.extent9-24en_US
dc.identifier.citationSturludottir, E., Desjardins, C., Elvarsson, B., Fulton, E. A., Gorton, R., Logemann, K., & Stefansson, G. (2018). End-to-end model of Icelandic waters using the Atlantis framework: Exploring system dynamics and model reliability. Fisheries Research, 207, 9-24. doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.fishres.2018.05.026en_US
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.fishres.2018.05.026
dc.identifier.issn0165-7836
dc.identifier.journalFisheries Researchen_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11815/1029
dc.language.isoenen_US
dc.publisherElsevier BVen_US
dc.relationinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/FP7/613571en_US
dc.relationinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/H2020/634495is
dc.relation.ispartofseriesFisheries Research;207
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessen_US
dc.subjectAtlantisen_US
dc.subjectEcosystem modelen_US
dc.subjectIcelandic watersen_US
dc.subjectSensitivity analysisen_US
dc.subjectSkill assessmenten_US
dc.subjectVistkerfien_US
dc.subjectLíkanagerðen_US
dc.subjectSjávarútveguren_US
dc.subjectTölfræðien_US
dc.subjectVistfræðien_US
dc.subjectHafiðen_US
dc.subjectNorður-Atlantshafen_US
dc.titleEnd-to-end model of Icelandic waters using the Atlantis framework: Exploring system dynamics and model reliabilityen_US
dc.typeinfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleen_US
dcterms.licenseCreative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-NoDerivative Works 4.0 International License (CC BY-NC-ND)en_US

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